Pi-Sigma neural network for temperature forecasting in Batu Pahat

In this study, two artificial neural network (ANN) models, a Pi-Sigma Neural Network (PSNN) and a three-layer multilayer perceptron (MLP), are applied for temperature forecasting. PSNN is use to overcome the limitation of widely used MLP, which can easily get stuck into local minima and prone to ove...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Husaini, Noor Aida, Ghazali, Rozaida, Mohd Nawi, Nazri, Ismail, Lokman Hakim
Format: Book Section
Published: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011
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Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3042/
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Summary:In this study, two artificial neural network (ANN) models, a Pi-Sigma Neural Network (PSNN) and a three-layer multilayer perceptron (MLP), are applied for temperature forecasting. PSNN is use to overcome the limitation of widely used MLP, which can easily get stuck into local minima and prone to overfitting. Therefore, good generalization may not be obtained. The models were trained with backpropagation algorithm on historical temperature data of Batu Pahat region. Through 810 experiments, we found that PSNN performs considerably better results compared to MLP for daily temperature forecasting and can be suitably adapted to forecasts a particular region using the historical data over larger geographical areas.